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RUSHING | RECEIVING | FANTASY | |||||||||
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SEASON | TEAM | ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | REC | TGTS | YDS | TD | FPTS/G | FPTS |
2022 | SF | 244 | 1,139 | 4.7 | 8 | 85 | 108 | 741 | 5 | 21.0 | 356.4 |
2023 | SF | 272 | 1,459 | 5.4 | 14 | 67 | 83 | 564 | 7 | 24.5 | 391.3 |
2024 | SF | 266 | 1,274 | 4.8 | 12 | 70 | 88 | 568 | 5 | 20.6 | 350.1 |
Christian McCaffrey 2023 NFL Player Outlook: Building On A Resurgent Season
Forget about reaching the 1,000-rushing-yard mark last season. More importantly, San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey is finally healthy. That milestone alone should give fantasy owners the confidence to consider adding him early. Since being dealt to the 49ers last October, the 26-year-old rushed for 984 yards on 199 attempts, caught 64 of 79 targets for 525 yards, and scored 13 total touchdowns in 14 games (including the playoffs). Before 2022, CMC had back-to-back injury-riddled seasons from 2020-21, as he was limited to 10 games due to ankle and hamstring injuries. Spending the offseason with the San Francisco 49ers will help his game. They play a style that suits his skill set, which sets him up for a dominant campaign. Learning more about Kyle Shanahan's offense will earn him Pro Bowl and All-Pro selections. His passing ability can also catch opposing defenses off guard. Therefore, he will be a steady source of fantasy points through yards and receptions. Barring any injury, McCaffrey will be among the top 10 in rushing yards in 2023, especially when he plays behind one of the league's best offensive lines. He also allows San Francisco to fool opponents by having a wide receiver lined in the backfield. Meanwhile, his versatility makes them the top draw in fantasy football this year. Fantasy managers with the No. 1 pick in PPR leagues must select him immediately. Christian McCaffrey will be a difference-maker, regardless of format.
WEEK | OPP | FPTS | PERFORMANCE |
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1 | @PIT | 25.9 |
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2 | @LAR | 22.5 |
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3 | NYG | 22.9 |
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4 | ARI | 48.7 |
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5 | DAL | 13.8 |
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6 | @CLE | 14.2 |
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7 | @MIN | 22.6 |
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8 | CIN | 29.8 |
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9 |
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10 | @JAX | 20.2 |
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11 | TB | 21.3 |
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12 | @SEA | 30.9 |
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13 | @PHI | 22.3 |
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14 | SEA | 16.3 |
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15 | @ARI | 41.7 |
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16 | BAL | 25.1 |
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17 | @WAS | 13.1 |
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18 |
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RECEIVING | RUSHING | FANTASY | ||||||||||||
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SEASON | TEAM | REC | TGTS | YDS | TD | LNG | YDS/TGT | YDS/REC | ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | FPTS/G | FPTS |
2022 | DAL | 107 | 156 | 1,359 | 9 | 39 | 8.7 | 12.7 | 10 | 47 | 4.7 | 0 | 17.7 | 301.6 |
2023 | DAL | 135 | 181 | 1,749 | 12 | 92 | 9.7 | 13.0 | 14 | 113 | 8.1 | 2 | 23.7 | 403.2 |
2024 | DAL | 121 | 178 | 1,549 | 10 | 0 | 8.7 | 12.8 | 12 | 81 | 6.8 | 1 | 20.5 | 348.2 |
CeeDee Lamb 2022 Outlook: Less Target Competition Could Yield Elite WR1 Numbers
CeeDee Lamb improved a bit in his sophomore campaign, but not by a whole lot. As a rookie, he averaged 4.6 receptions for 58.4 yards on 6.9 targets per game. Last season, he averaged 4.9 receptions for 68.9 yards on 7.5 targets per game. He scored five touchdowns in 2020 and six in 2021, but overall, the "breakout" people expected didn't really happen. Maybe expectations were too high for Lamb a season ago playing alongside Amari Cooper. But with Cooper now in Cleveland and Michael Gallup likely not ready for the start of the season as he recovers from a torn ACL, Lamb should command an enormous target share in his third season. His playing time was a bit lackluster his first two seasons as the Cowboys would take him out of the game often in 3WR sets, but that is likely to change without Cooper and with Gallup on the sidelines. As a rookie, Lamb played on over 70% of the snaps in just four games. He saw double-digit targets in just two games. Last season he saw a snap share of over 70% in 12 games and saw double-digit targets in four games. He was also ninth in yards after the catch (YAC)/reception last season while having the sixth-best receiving grade, per PFF. The breakout is on the horizon.
WEEK | OPP | FPTS | PERFORMANCE |
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1 | @NYG | 11.7 |
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2 | NYJ | 25.3 |
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3 | @ARI | 10.2 |
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4 | NE | 14.8 |
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5 | @SF | 8.9 |
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6 | @LAC | 18.7 |
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7 |
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8 | LAR | 41.0 |
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9 | @PHI | 28.1 |
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10 | NYG | 39.5 |
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11 | @CAR | 16.5 |
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12 | WAS | 17.3 |
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13 | SEA | 32.6 |
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14 | PHI | 19.1 |
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15 | @BUF | 18.6 |
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16 | @MIA | 25.2 |
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17 | DET | 40.2 |
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18 | @WAS | 35.5 |
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RECEIVING | RUSHING | FANTASY | ||||||||||||
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SEASON | TEAM | REC | TGTS | YDS | TD | LNG | YDS/TGT | YDS/REC | ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | FPTS/G | FPTS |
2022 | CIN | 87 | 134 | 1,046 | 9 | 60 | 7.8 | 12.0 | 5 | 8 | 1.6 | 0 | 20.2 | 242.4 |
2023 | CIN | 100 | 145 | 1,216 | 7 | 76 | 8.4 | 12.2 | 3 | -6 | -2.0 | 0 | 16.4 | 262.7 |
2024 | CIN | 109 | 168 | 1,408 | 10 | 0 | 8.4 | 12.9 | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 0 | 18.1 | 307.9 |
Ja'Marr Chase 2022 Outlook: Second-Year Stud Set For Encore
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase met all expectations and then some in his 2021 rookie season after being the No. 5 overall pick in the draft. Chase finished with 81 catches for 1,455 yards and 13 touchdowns while also setting the single-game rookie receiving record with 266 yards in Week 17. Chase is primed to build upon his debut season success in 2022 on a Bengals offense that is set to explode this upcoming year. Cincinnati invested significant resources into fixing an offensive line that struggled in 2021, bringing in La'el Collins, Ted Karras, and Alex Cappa to protect star quarterback Joe Burrow. An improved offensive line will allow the Bengals to play faster on offense and give Burrow more time to find his pass catchers down the field. Chase is being selected towards the end of the first round in fantasy drafts and is worth a look even earlier than that if fantasy managers want to build around star pass-catchers in 2022.
WEEK | OPP | FPTS | PERFORMANCE |
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1 | @CLE | 9.1 |
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2 | BAL | 8.1 |
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3 | LAR | 26.1 |
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4 | @TEN | 14.3 |
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5 | @ARI | 52.2 |
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6 | SEA | 14.0 |
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7 |
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8 | @SF | 25.2 |
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9 | BUF | 8.1 |
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10 | HOU | 23.4 |
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11 | @BAL | 9.2 |
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12 | PIT | 12.1 |
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13 | @JAX | 31.6 |
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14 | IND | 5.9 |
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15 | MIN | 10.4 |
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16 |
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17 | @KC | 7.1 |
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18 | CLE | 5.9 |
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RECEIVING | RUSHING | FANTASY | ||||||||||||
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SEASON | TEAM | REC | TGTS | YDS | TD | LNG | YDS/TGT | YDS/REC | ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | FPTS/G | FPTS |
2022 | MIA | 119 | 170 | 1,710 | 7 | 64 | 10.1 | 14.4 | 7 | 32 | 4.6 | 2 | 20.4 | 347.2 |
2023 | MIA | 119 | 171 | 1,799 | 13 | 78 | 10.5 | 15.1 | 6 | 15 | 2.5 | 0 | 23.5 | 376.4 |
2024 | MIA | 112 | 170 | 1,604 | 10 | 0 | 9.4 | 14.3 | 7 | 37 | 5.3 | 0 | 19.7 | 335.3 |
Tyreek Hill 2023 Outlook: Cinch WR1 Aims To Match Career Season In Year 2 With Well-Schemed Attack
Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill silenced skeptics concerning his ability to transition from catching passes via the cannon-armed Patrick Mahomes to weaker-armed Tua Tagovailoa in 2022. Hill unequivocally meshed with his new quarterback, assembling career highs in targets (170), receptions (119), and receiving yards (1710) over 17 games. The 29-year-old achieved an outstanding seventh straight Pro Bowl selection in the process. Hill ended as fantasy's overall WR2 in full-PPR settings, placing first among WRs in target rate (33.6%), deep targets (36), and fantasy points per route run (0.69). The superstar wideout exhibited a remarkable floor by recording at least 13 FP in 15-of-17 contests. Hill also showcased one of the game's strongest weekly ceilings, registering at least 21 FP during eight outings. The four-time All-Pro has finished as the WR7 or better in FPPG in five of the past six seasons. After seeing a slight dip in ADP last summer with his new team, Hill is justifiably back in the first-round mix this time around. However, the polarizing Hill is facing assault charges stemming from a June 18 altercation. The situation remains fluid as the veteran is unofficially being investigated by the NFL. In terms of a possible suspension, these situations generally tend to drag out until the legal process concludes; Alvin Kamara is yet to be disciplined by the league for an alleged February 2022 battery incident as of 16 months later. For the sake of Hill's 2023 outlook, the top-tier WR1 should be one of first four at his position off the board across all formats as a weekly matchup-proof, set-and-forget fantasy play.
WEEK | OPP | FPTS | PERFORMANCE |
---|---|---|---|
1 | @LAC | 44.5 |
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2 | @HOU | 2.3 |
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3 | @JAX | 4.2 |
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4 | @BUF | 10.2 |
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5 | NYG | 32.1 |
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6 | CAR | 28.3 |
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7 | @PHI | 25.8 |
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8 | NE | 25.2 |
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9 | @KC | 12.5 |
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10 |
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11 | LV | 30.6 |
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12 | @NYJ | 25.4 |
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13 | @WAS | 32.3 |
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14 | TEN | 10.1 |
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15 |
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16 | DAL | 18.9 |
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17 | @BAL | 13.6 |
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18 | BUF | 21.2 |
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RECEIVING | RUSHING | FANTASY | ||||||||||||
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SEASON | TEAM | REC | TGTS | YDS | TD | LNG | YDS/TGT | YDS/REC | ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | FPTS/G | FPTS |
2022 | MIN | 128 | 184 | 1,809 | 8 | 64 | 9.8 | 14.1 | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 1 | 21.7 | 368.7 |
2023 | MIN | 68 | 100 | 1,074 | 5 | 52 | 10.7 | 15.8 | 1 | -12 | -12.0 | 0 | 20.2 | 202.2 |
2024 | MIN | 110 | 173 | 1,559 | 8 | 0 | 9.0 | 14.2 | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | 0 | 18.6 | 315.9 |
Justin Jefferson Fantasy Outlook: A Young Star Continues To Rise In The North
Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson had a remarkable rookie season in 2020. After 88 receptions, 1,400 yards, and seven touchdowns, the pressure was one for him to improve. And improve, he did. While playing in all 17 games, Jefferson had 108 receptions for 1,616 yards and 10 touchdowns. He was the main target for quarterback Kirk Cousins and was able to keep the offense afloat during weeks when Adam Thielen missed games due to injury. Coming into year three, but under a new head coach, it will be essential for him to keep things going. It is good to know his new head coach Kevin O'Connell was the offensive coordinator for the Los Angeles Rams and Cooper Kupp last season. So, there is the potential for an even better season in 2022 than he ever had in 2021. Although Dalvin Cook is there and Thielen is now healthy, Jefferson has taken over as the main cog of the offense in Minnesota. When the team needs a big play, they know where to get it. Jefferson. Finding a place to select him in fantasy drafts will be difficult. If you have an early first-round pick, this is too early to select him. On the other hand, he will likely not get back to you in the second round. If you want him, you will need to grab him there. This said, he is not worth more than the elite running backs. Wide receivers are more readily available. Your best bet of getting Jefferson is to have a late pick in the first. You can grab a running back and then get Jefferson early in the second. Or even reverse the order and select Jefferson in the first. While Kupp and Davante Adams are the number one and two wide receivers to be drafted, Jefferson should be in a fight with the likes of Tyreek Hill and Stefon Diggs for the next man up. You cannot go wrong with either one of these players. But with the offense surrounding him and the potential of Jefferson under a new head coach, he could and possibly should be your choice as the number three receiver in fantasy drafts.
WEEK | OPP | FPTS | PERFORMANCE |
---|---|---|---|
1 | TB | 24.0 |
|
2 | @PHI | 24.9 |
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3 | LAC | 27.9 |
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4 | @CAR | 26.5 |
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5 | KC | 5.8 |
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6 |
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7 |
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8 |
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9 |
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10 |
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11 |
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12 |
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13 |
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14 | @LV | 4.7 |
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15 | @CIN | 15.4 |
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16 | DET | 26.1 |
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17 | GB | 10.9 |
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18 | @DET | 36.0 |
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RUSHING | RECEIVING | FANTASY | |||||||||
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SEASON | TEAM | ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | REC | TGTS | YDS | TD | FPTS/G | FPTS |
2023 | ATL | 214 | 976 | 4.6 | 4 | 58 | 86 | 487 | 4 | 14.5 | 246.3 |
2024 | ATL | 242 | 1,121 | 4.6 | 8 | 58 | 73 | 477 | 4 | 16.5 | 281.1 |
WEEK | OPP | FPTS | PERFORMANCE |
---|---|---|---|
1 | CAR | 20.3 |
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2 | CIN | 3.6 |
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3 | @DET | 10.0 |
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4 | @JAX | 18.7 |
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5 | HOU | 11.8 |
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6 | WAS | 13.0 |
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7 | @TB | 0.3 |
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8 | @TEN | 12.2 |
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9 | MIN | 5.9 |
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10 | @ARI | 17.6 |
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11 |
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12 | NO | 27.3 |
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13 | @NYJ | 10.9 |
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14 | TB | 19.8 |
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15 | @CAR | 0.4 |
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16 | IND | 19.2 |
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17 | @CHI | 11.6 |
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18 | @NO | 26.1 |
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RUSHING | RECEIVING | FANTASY | |||||||||
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SEASON | TEAM | ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | REC | TGTS | YDS | TD | FPTS/G | FPTS |
2022 | NYJ | 80 | 463 | 5.8 | 4 | 19 | 31 | 218 | 1 | 16.4 | 115.1 |
2023 | NYJ | 223 | 994 | 4.5 | 5 | 76 | 95 | 591 | 4 | 17.1 | 290.5 |
2024 | NYJ | 263 | 1,172 | 4.5 | 9 | 63 | 76 | 505 | 3 | 17.6 | 299.1 |
Michael Carter 2023 NFL Player Outlook: Mainly Deep-League Option As Jets RB3
New York Jets running back Michael Carter will have his work cut out for him in 2023 as the backup to Breece Hall. The Jets are "hopeful" that Hall will be ready in Week 1 and is fully recovered from his torn ACL that he suffered last season. Carter will take a back seat to the second-year running back and former Minnesota Vikings running back Dalvin Cook, who signed a one-year deal with the Jets this offseason. When Hall took over as the lead back from Week 3 to Week 7, Carter averaged just 29 rush yards on 46% of the Jets snaps. That correlated to just 8.38 fantasy points per game during that span. Even when Hall went down, Carter wasn't as productive as fantasy managers would have liked due to the emergence of running back Zonovan Knight. The Jets also added running back Israel Abanikanda in the fifth round of the 2023 NFL Draft. With Hall as the lead back and Cook now in town, Carter is suddenly buried on the running back depth chart. There will be few opportunities for the 24-year-old back to shine, even as a flex play. Carter has been related to the Jets RB3 behind Hall and Cook, making him mainly an option in deep-league formats.
WEEK | OPP | FPTS | PERFORMANCE |
---|---|---|---|
1 | BUF | 15.7 |
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2 | @DAL | 0.9 |
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3 | NE | 3.7 |
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4 | KC | 9.9 |
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5 | @DEN | 28.4 |
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6 | PHI | 20.3 |
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7 |
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8 | @NYG | 21.3 |
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9 | LAC | 10.0 |
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10 | @LV | 10.5 |
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11 | @BUF | 18.3 |
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12 | MIA | 11.9 |
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13 | ATL | 10.5 |
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14 | HOU | 26.6 |
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15 | @MIA | 2.8 |
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16 | WAS | 43.1 |
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17 | @CLE | 27.6 |
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18 | @NE | 29.0 |
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RECEIVING | RUSHING | FANTASY | ||||||||||||
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SEASON | TEAM | REC | TGTS | YDS | TD | LNG | YDS/TGT | YDS/REC | ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | FPTS/G | FPTS |
2022 | DET | 106 | 146 | 1,161 | 6 | 49 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 9 | 95 | 10.6 | 0 | 16.7 | 267.6 |
2023 | DET | 119 | 164 | 1,515 | 10 | 70 | 9.2 | 12.7 | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 0 | 20.7 | 330.9 |
2024 | DET | 115 | 163 | 1,378 | 9 | 0 | 8.5 | 12.0 | 5 | 35 | 7.0 | 0 | 18.1 | 307.1 |
Amon-Ra St. Brown 2022 Outlook: Can Spectacular Finish to 2021 Season Carry Over?
Amon-Ra St. Brown started off slow in his rookie season, but from Week 13 on he was the overall WR2 in fantasy football, behind just Cooper Kupp and tied with Davante Adams. That's some impressive company. From Week 1 through 10, St. Brown had just a 64.7% snap share. From Week 11 on, that snap share increased to 86.2%. Interestingly, however, the routes run per game didn't increase all that much, going from 27.5 in the first nine games to 29.1 in the last eight. But the targets, and subsequently the targets per route run (TPRR) increased significantly. St. Brown's TPRR increased from 17.7% all the way up to 32.2%. Coincidently, T.J. Hockenson didn't play from Week 14 on, while D'Andre Swift didn't play between Weeks 13 and 16. Hockenson averaged seven targets per game, while Swift averaged 6.3 targets per game. The receiver depth chart behind St. Brown in the final six games of the season was as such: Kalif Raymond, KhaDarel Hodge, Tom Kennedy, and Trinity Benson. Nobody can take away the incredible production he sustained down the stretch, but one must question whether he was targeted at such a high rate because there was just nobody else for Jared Goff to throw the ball to. It's clear St. Brown has what it takes to be a great receiver in the NFL, but can he even come close to being even a top-20 WR in 2022 with a healthy Hockenson, a healthy Swift, and newcomers D.J. Chark and Jameson Williams in the mix? That remains to be seen, but one should set realistic expectations about his ability to command targets with a healthy stable of more talented skill players on offense. Consider him more of a WR3 than a WR2 this season.
WEEK | OPP | FPTS | PERFORMANCE |
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1 | @KC | 19.1 |
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2 | SEA | 14.2 |
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3 | ATL | 19.6 |
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4 | @GB | 16.6 |
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5 |
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6 | @TB | 30.4 |
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7 | @BAL | 23.2 |
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8 | LV | 16.8 |
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9 |
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10 | @LAC | 30.5 |
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11 | CHI | 21.7 |
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12 | GB | 18.5 |
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13 | @NO | 12.9 |
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14 | @CHI | 5.1 |
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15 | DEN | 24.2 |
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16 | @MIN | 28.6 |
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17 | @DAL | 22.1 |
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18 | MIN | 27.4 |
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RECEIVING | RUSHING | FANTASY | ||||||||||||
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SEASON | TEAM | REC | TGTS | YDS | TD | LNG | YDS/TGT | YDS/REC | ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | FPTS/G | FPTS |
2022 | PHI | 88 | 146 | 1,496 | 11 | 78 | 10.2 | 17.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 17.6 | 299.6 |
2023 | PHI | 106 | 158 | 1,456 | 7 | 59 | 9.2 | 13.7 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 17.0 | 289.6 |
2024 | PHI | 92 | 148 | 1,350 | 9 | 0 | 9.1 | 14.7 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 16.3 | 276.4 |
A.J. Brown 2022 NFL Player Outlook: No Change in Value for the Stud WR Changing Offenses
Former Tennessee Titans' star wide receiver A.J. Brown was recently traded to the Philadelphia Eagles for the 18th and 101st overall picks in the 2022 NFL Draft. Immediately following this move, the Eagles and Brown agreed on a 4-year, $100 million contract, including $57 million guaranteed. Clearly, the team plans to use Brown heavily, and he will immediately become the team's number one receiving threat, ahead of both WR DeVonta Smith and TE Dallas Goedert. These moves also indicate that the Eagles want to return to a more balanced offense after being very run-heavy in the back-end of the last season. Through his first seven games of 2021, Eagles' QB Jalen Hurts attempted 34.6 pass attempts per game. Then, in his final eight games, this number dropped to just 23.8 att/g. This change in their offensive plan came just one week after the team traded TE Zach Ertz to the Arizona Cardinals. The team seemed forced into this run-heavy approach due to their lack of offensive firepower behind their talented tight-end Goedert and standout rookie receiver Smith. Now, the Eagles have 100 million reasons to shift back to the balanced approach we saw towards the beginning of the 2021 season. While it would've been great to see him traded to a pass-heavy offense, we all saw how A.J. Brown flourished in Tennessee's balanced scheme (30.1 pass attempts/game) alongside WR Corey Davis and TE Jonnu Smith, finishing the 2020 season as the WR5 in PPG. In 2021, Brown was the WR15 in PPG while Derrick Henry was still playing, but he dropped to WR24 after Henry's injury. I have no doubts that Brown's talent will translate perfectly to the Eagles' offensive plans, and he should finish as a top-15 WR by the end of the year. However, A.J. Brown's current ADP of WR9 might be a little too close to his ceiling for me to pull the trigger at that price.
WEEK | OPP | FPTS | PERFORMANCE |
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1 | @NE | 14.9 |
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2 | MIN | 6.9 |
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3 | @TB | 22.1 |
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4 | WAS | 38.5 |
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5 | @LAR | 18.7 |
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6 | @NYJ | 20.1 |
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7 | MIA | 29.7 |
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8 | @WAS | 33.0 |
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9 | DAL | 19.6 |
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10 |
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11 | @KC | 1.8 |
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12 | BUF | 14.7 |
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13 | SF | 19.4 |
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14 | @DAL | 16.4 |
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15 | @SEA | 10.6 |
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16 | NYG | 14.0 |
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17 | ARI | 9.3 |
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18 | @NYG | -0.1 |
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RECEIVING | RUSHING | FANTASY | ||||||||||||
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SEASON | TEAM | REC | TGTS | YDS | TD | LNG | YDS/TGT | YDS/REC | ATT | YDS | AVG | TD | FPTS/G | FPTS |
2023 | LAR | 105 | 160 | 1,486 | 6 | 80 | 9.3 | 14.2 | 12 | 89 | 7.4 | 0 | 17.6 | 298.5 |
2024 | LAR | 98 | 154 | 1,350 | 8 | 0 | 8.8 | 13.8 | 11 | 69 | 6.3 | 0 | 16.9 | 286.6 |
WEEK | OPP | FPTS | PERFORMANCE |
---|---|---|---|
1 | LAC | 12.2 |
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2 | SF | 30.1 |
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3 | @CIN | 12.2 |
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4 | @IND | 31.3 |
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5 | PHI | 20.1 |
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6 | ARI | 6.6 |
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7 | PIT | 23.4 |
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8 | @DAL | 7.3 |
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9 | @GB | 6.2 |
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10 |
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11 | SEA | 18.7 |
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12 | @ARI | 6.7 |
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13 | CLE | 23.9 |
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14 | @BAL | 14.0 |
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15 | WAS | 10.3 |
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16 | NO | 33.0 |
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17 | @NYG | 18.7 |
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18 | @SF | 14.1 |
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